After Bell Investing · Stock of the Day

2026-10-14

Three large-cap Yahoo day gainers. Market cap ≥ $10B, US listing, real volume. Same pattern readings as the Mag7 print. Filed as a note beside the print. A one-day move is not a call. VIX 15.27 low. SPY 769.67.

HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.

+6.6%

Cap: $13.3B
Last: 116.82
RSI 14: 64.4
vs SMA20: +4.8%

Named setup squeeze breakout · 86/100 · buy

Back inside the band / stop ~109.66.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

Pattern	Current	Threshold	vs	Status
Historic drawdown	0.0%	>= top-3 avg 41.4%	0.00x	below
20d range high	116.82	> 116.85	-0.0%	below
20d range low	116.82	< 105.50	+10.7%	below
Relative volume	1.29x	>= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up	0.86x vs expansion	below
RSI_14	64.4	oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70	mid 30-70	inside
MACD vs signal	1.526 vs 1.633	cross up: line > signal after line <= signal	spread -0.107	below
Bollinger squeeze	width 8.577	<= 20%ile cutoff 9.128	0.94x cutoff	met
vs SMA20 (pullback tag)	+4.8%	-4.0% to +1.2%	+4.8%	outside
vs 52w high (breakout)	-2.0%	>= -3.0% (within 3% of high)	-2.0%	met
SMA50 vs SMA200	107.44 vs 80.08	golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200	+34.2%	above
VIX	15.27 (low)	elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30	15.27	low

GFS GlobalFoundries Inc.

+4.8%

Cap: $27.3B
Last: 48.94
RSI 14: 53.1
vs SMA20: +1.8%

Named setup historic drawdown · 72/100 · buy

Stop ~44.47 (2x ATR) or a new closing low under the drawdown trough 42.75. Peak used for the open episode: 89.96.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

Pattern	Current	Threshold	vs	Status
Historic drawdown	45.6%	>= top-3 avg 36.7%	1.24x	met
20d range high	48.94	> 51.45	-4.9%	below
20d range low	48.94	< 42.55	+15.0%	below
Relative volume	2.71x	>= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up	1.81x vs expansion	met
RSI_14	53.1	oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70	mid 30-70	inside
MACD vs signal	0.152 vs 0.050	cross up: line > signal after line <= signal	spread 0.102	above
Bollinger squeeze	width 8.275	<= 20%ile cutoff 16.964	0.49x cutoff	met
vs SMA20 (pullback tag)	+1.8%	-4.0% to +1.2%	+1.8%	outside
vs 52w high (breakout)	-47.1%	>= -3.0% (within 3% of high)	-47.1%	below
SMA50 vs SMA200	47.77 vs 54.73	golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200	-12.7%	below
VIX	15.27 (low)	elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30	15.27	low

UNH UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

+4.7%

Cap: $355.1B
Last: 395.62
RSI 14: 48.0
vs SMA20: +0.8%

Named setup historic drawdown · 72/100 · buy

Stop ~356.56 (2x ATR) or a new closing low under the drawdown trough 237.77. Peak used for the open episode: 625.25.

Readings are from the 2026-10-13 close — today's bar had not settled on the tape.

Pattern readings

Pattern	Current	Threshold	vs	Status
Historic drawdown	39.6%	>= top-3 avg 27.3%	1.45x	met
20d range high	377.76	> 387.52	-2.5%	below
20d range low	377.76	< 362.60	+4.2%	below
Relative volume	2.29x	>= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up	1.53x vs expansion	met
RSI_14	48.0	oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70	mid 30-70	inside
MACD vs signal	-3.265 vs -4.848	cross up: line > signal after line <= signal	spread 1.582	above
Bollinger squeeze	width 3.968	<= 20%ile cutoff 6.199	0.64x cutoff	met
vs SMA20 (pullback tag)	+0.8%	-4.0% to +1.2%	+0.8%	met
vs 52w high (breakout)	-18.2%	>= -3.0% (within 3% of high)	-18.2%	below
SMA50 vs SMA200	387.71 vs 358.04	golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200	+8.3%	above
VIX	15.27 (low)	elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30	15.27	low

Qualified but not picked

MRNA — cooldown: carried a card 5d ago; cooldown 7d

Named-setup analog on these three

Research analog, not a forecast. Close-to-close after the first session a named setup clears min_score. Onsets are at least 21 sessions apart. A win on a buy is a higher close 21 sessions later, net of 10 bps. A win on a sell is a lower close. Hit rate is always shown next to the same names' unconditional 21-session rate. Mag7 thresholds (n ≥ 40, n_eff ≥ 40) are reported for comparability, but this walk can never earn a cleared grade: on one name n_eff equals n by construction, so read n_episodes — onsets grouped into quarter-wide windows — as the independence count. One long drawdown re-arms a washout setup every quarter and shows up as many onsets. The names were also selected because they jumped today, and the $10B floor is measured today while the history covers the era when the name was far smaller.

Lookback 2300 sessions · onset gap 21 · tape HALO 2300 · GFS 1245

Premise check: buying this name after a big up day

The page picks names because they jumped. This is that entry on each name's own history — not a named setup.

Name	up day ≥	n	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY
HALO	8%	14	13	71.4%	55.7%	-1.6%	57.1%
GFS	8%	12	10	66.7%	48.7%	+8.2%	50.0%

Today's printed setups

Name	Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
HALO	squeeze_breakout	buy	11	11.0	9	45.5%	55.7%	-2.9%	36.4%	53.1%	fail
GFS	historic_drawdown	buy	12	12.0	7	50.0%	48.7%	+1.3%	66.7%	45.0%	fail
UNH	historic_drawdown	buy	0	—		—	—	—	—	—	—

Whole-panel walk

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	56	50.0	22	46.4%	53.3%	+0.3%	46.4%	50.3%	marginal
pullback_and_rs	buy	51	45.0	20	51.0%	53.3%	+0.7%	49.0%	50.3%	marginal
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	53.3%	—	—	50.3%	fail
breakout	buy	32	30.0	16	59.4%	53.3%	+1.7%	59.4%	50.3%	fail
golden_cross	buy	10	10.0	10	70.0%	53.3%	+2.9%	70.0%	50.3%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	7	7.0	5	42.9%	53.3%	+3.7%	42.9%	50.3%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	40	33.0	22	55.0%	53.3%	-0.2%	47.5%	50.3%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	13	13.0	11	46.2%	53.3%	-0.2%	38.5%	50.3%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	27	24.0	16	48.1%	53.3%	+0.1%	48.1%	50.3%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	8	8.0	6	87.5%	53.3%	+2.1%	75.0%	50.3%	fail
death_cross	sell	11	11.0	10	9.1%	46.2%	-4.3%	18.2%	49.7%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	3	3.0	3	33.3%	46.2%	+3.2%	33.3%	49.7%	fail
breakdown	sell	21	21.0	12	23.8%	46.2%	-3.0%	38.1%	49.7%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	22	21.0	15	36.4%	46.2%	-1.3%	54.5%	49.7%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	13	12.4	8	46.2%	46.2%	-2.5%	46.2%	49.7%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	39	36.0	15	48.7%	46.2%	+0.4%	53.8%	49.7%	fail

GFS

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	11	11.0	5	54.5%	48.7%	-1.3%	54.5%	45.0%	fail
pullback_and_rs	buy	10	10.0	5	60.0%	48.7%	-0.1%	60.0%	45.0%	fail
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	48.7%	—	—	45.0%	fail
breakout	buy	6	6.0	4	66.7%	48.7%	+6.2%	66.7%	45.0%	fail
golden_cross	buy	2	2.0	2	50.0%	48.7%	-3.7%	50.0%	45.0%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	4	4.0	4	50.0%	48.7%	+8.6%	50.0%	45.0%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	10	10.0	8	50.0%	48.7%	-1.3%	50.0%	45.0%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	2	2.0	2	50.0%	48.7%	+14.5%	50.0%	45.0%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	12	12.0	7	50.0%	48.7%	+1.3%	66.7%	45.0%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	6	6.0	4	83.3%	48.7%	-0.5%	66.7%	45.0%	fail
death_cross	sell	3	3.0	2	0.0%	51.0%	-4.3%	0.0%	55.0%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	0	0.0	0	—	51.0%	—	—	55.0%	fail
breakdown	sell	9	9.0	5	22.2%	51.0%	-1.2%	44.4%	55.0%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	11	11.0	8	27.3%	51.0%	-2.7%	54.5%	55.0%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	5	5.0	4	40.0%	51.0%	+0.6%	40.0%	55.0%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	18	18.0	8	44.4%	51.0%	+2.0%	55.6%	55.0%	fail

HALO

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	45	45.0	20	44.4%	55.7%	+0.7%	44.4%	53.1%	marginal
pullback_and_rs	buy	41	41.0	18	48.8%	55.7%	+0.9%	46.3%	53.1%	marginal
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	55.7%	—	—	53.1%	fail
breakout	buy	26	26.0	14	57.7%	55.7%	+0.7%	57.7%	53.1%	fail
golden_cross	buy	8	8.0	8	75.0%	55.7%	+4.5%	75.0%	53.1%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	3	3.0	3	33.3%	55.7%	-2.8%	33.3%	53.1%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	30	30.0	20	56.7%	55.7%	+0.1%	46.7%	53.1%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	11	11.0	9	45.5%	55.7%	-2.9%	36.4%	53.1%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	15	15.0	13	46.7%	55.7%	-0.9%	33.3%	53.1%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	2	2.0	2	100.0%	55.7%	+9.7%	100.0%	53.1%	fail
death_cross	sell	8	8.0	8	12.5%	43.7%	-4.3%	25.0%	46.9%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	3	3.0	3	33.3%	43.7%	+3.2%	33.3%	46.9%	fail
breakdown	sell	12	12.0	7	25.0%	43.7%	-4.4%	33.3%	46.9%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	11	11.0	9	45.5%	43.7%	+0.1%	54.5%	46.9%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	8	8.0	6	50.0%	43.7%	-4.4%	50.0%	46.9%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	21	21.0	9	52.4%	43.7%	-0.9%	52.4%	46.9%	fail

2026-10-14

Pattern readings

Pattern readings

Pattern readings

Qualified but not picked

Named-setup analog on these three

Premise check: buying this name after a big up day

Today's printed setups

Whole-panel walk

GFS

HALO

Earlier mover prints