After Bell Investing · Stock of the Day

2026-10-09

Three large-cap Yahoo day gainers. Market cap ≥ $10B, US listing, real volume. Same pattern readings as the Mag7 print. Filed as a note beside the print. A one-day move is not a call. VIX 15.41 low. SPY 778.54.

CCI Crown Castle Inc.

+15.6%

Cap: $34.8B
Last: 79.64
RSI 14: 71.7
vs SMA20: +13.3%

Named setup volume breakout · 58/100 · buy

Failed break if close back under 75.92; stop ~74.62.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

Pattern	Current	Threshold	vs	Status
Historic drawdown	61.8%	>= top-3 avg 21.3%	2.91x	met
20d range high	79.64	> 75.92	+4.9%	met
20d range low	79.64	< 65.32	+21.9%	below
Relative volume	3.23x	>= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up	2.16x vs expansion	met
RSI_14	71.7	oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70	+1.7 vs 70	overbought
MACD vs signal	-0.840 vs -1.761	cross up: line > signal after line <= signal	spread 0.921	above
Bollinger squeeze	width 19.977	<= 20%ile cutoff 6.534	3.06x cutoff	below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag)	+13.3%	-4.0% to +1.2%	+13.3%	outside
vs 52w high (breakout)	-20.8%	>= -3.0% (within 3% of high)	-20.8%	below
SMA50 vs SMA200	73.36 vs 82.58	golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200	-11.2%	below
VIX	15.41 (low)	elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30	15.41	low

MRNA Moderna, Inc.

+14.2%

Cap: $89.8B
Last: 225.00
RSI 14: 72.1
vs SMA20: +22.9%

Named setup bearish divergence · 82/100 · sell

Cover ~255.39 or a new closing high above the divergence peak.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

Pattern	Current	Threshold	vs	Status
Historic drawdown	53.6%	>= top-3 avg 46.0%	1.16x	met
20d range high	225.00	> 212.22	+6.0%	met
20d range low	225.00	< 135.01	+66.7%	below
Relative volume	1.63x	>= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up	1.08x vs expansion	met
RSI_14	72.1	oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70	+2.1 vs 70	overbought
MACD vs signal	18.987 vs 19.007	cross up: line > signal after line <= signal	spread -0.020	below
Bollinger squeeze	width 47.820	<= 20%ile cutoff 20.738	2.31x cutoff	below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag)	+22.9%	-4.0% to +1.2%	+22.9%	outside
vs 52w high (breakout)	+0.0%	>= -3.0% (within 3% of high)	+0.0%	met
SMA50 vs SMA200	138.26 vs 72.63	golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200	+90.4%	above
VIX	15.41 (low)	elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30	15.41	low
RSI bearish divergence	price 174.38 → 203.46 · osc 92.21 → 76.42	price higher high AND oscillator lower high	price +16.7% · osc -15.79	met
MACD bearish divergence	price 174.38 → 203.46 · osc 7.92 → 2.87	price higher high AND oscillator lower high	price +16.7% · osc -5.05	met

HUM Humana Inc.

+11.6%

Cap: $51.9B
Last: 431.87
RSI 14: 66.2
vs SMA20: +10.6%

Named setup volume breakout · 72/100 · buy

Failed break if close back under 415.77; stop ~394.68.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

Pattern	Current	Threshold	vs	Status
Historic drawdown	23.3%	>= top-3 avg 33.6%	0.69x	below
20d range high	431.87	> 415.77	+3.9%	met
20d range low	431.87	< 369.13	+17.0%	below
Relative volume	3.34x	>= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up	2.22x vs expansion	met
RSI_14	66.2	oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70	mid 30-70	inside
MACD vs signal	4.353 vs 1.201	cross up: line > signal after line <= signal	spread 3.152	above
Bollinger squeeze	width 13.806	<= 20%ile cutoff 9.907	1.39x cutoff	below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag)	+10.6%	-4.0% to +1.2%	+10.6%	outside
vs 52w high (breakout)	-5.4%	>= -3.0% (within 3% of high)	-5.4%	below
SMA50 vs SMA200	388.02 vs 296.89	golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200	+30.7%	above
VIX	15.41 (low)	elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30	15.41	low

Qualified but not picked

PCVX — cooldown: carried a card 4d ago; cooldown 7d

Named-setup analog on these three

Research analog, not a forecast. Close-to-close after the first session a named setup clears min_score. Onsets are at least 21 sessions apart. A win on a buy is a higher close 21 sessions later, net of 10 bps. A win on a sell is a lower close. Hit rate is always shown next to the same names' unconditional 21-session rate. Mag7 thresholds (n ≥ 40, n_eff ≥ 40) are reported for comparability, but this walk can never earn a cleared grade: on one name n_eff equals n by construction, so read n_episodes — onsets grouped into quarter-wide windows — as the independence count. One long drawdown re-arms a washout setup every quarter and shows up as many onsets. The names were also selected because they jumped today, and the $10B floor is measured today while the history covers the era when the name was far smaller.

Lookback 2300 sessions · onset gap 21 · tape CCI 2300 · MRNA 1970 · HUM 2300

Premise check: buying this name after a big up day

The page picks names because they jumped. This is that entry on each name's own history — not a named setup.

Name	up day ≥	n	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY
CCI	8%	3	3	33.3%	48.2%	+3.5%	100.0%
MRNA	8%	39	19	43.6%	50.6%	+5.9%	48.7%
HUM	8%	8	6	50.0%	53.5%	+4.4%	62.5%

Today's printed setups

Name	Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
CCI	volume_breakout	buy	16	16.0	13	43.8%	48.2%	-1.8%	43.8%	40.1%	fail
MRNA	bearish_divergence	sell	6	6.0	5	66.7%	49.2%	-13.7%	50.0%	52.2%	fail
HUM	volume_breakout	buy	19	19.0	13	52.6%	53.5%	+0.0%	42.1%	50.4%	fail

Whole-panel walk

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	99	63.3	26	53.5%	50.8%	+1.6%	48.5%	46.0%	marginal
pullback_and_rs	buy	88	61.1	26	47.7%	50.8%	+1.4%	46.6%	46.0%	marginal
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	50.8%	—	—	46.0%	fail
breakout	buy	60	43.3	23	48.3%	50.8%	+0.1%	43.3%	46.0%	marginal
golden_cross	buy	19	18.0	14	57.9%	50.8%	+1.0%	57.9%	46.0%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	20	17.0	14	50.0%	50.8%	+5.9%	55.0%	46.0%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	56	41.3	23	48.2%	50.8%	-1.0%	41.1%	46.0%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	43	35.7	20	51.2%	50.8%	-0.8%	53.5%	46.0%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	35	31.0	16	60.0%	50.8%	+4.4%	48.6%	46.0%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	27	22.0	12	63.0%	50.8%	+2.8%	48.1%	46.0%	fail
death_cross	sell	19	17.0	13	42.1%	48.4%	+3.3%	52.6%	54.0%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	24	21.0	18	58.3%	48.4%	+1.2%	70.8%	54.0%	fail
breakdown	sell	54	37.3	20	42.6%	48.4%	-0.4%	53.7%	54.0%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	46	35.0	19	43.5%	48.4%	+1.6%	56.5%	54.0%	thin
squeeze_breakdown	sell	35	29.5	18	40.0%	48.4%	-2.7%	48.6%	54.0%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	74	49.3	22	47.3%	48.4%	+0.9%	52.7%	54.0%	marginal

CCI

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	33	33.0	17	45.5%	48.2%	-1.6%	42.4%	40.1%	fail
pullback_and_rs	buy	28	28.0	16	39.3%	48.2%	-1.8%	39.3%	40.1%	fail
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	48.2%	—	—	40.1%	fail
breakout	buy	21	21.0	13	47.6%	48.2%	-0.9%	38.1%	40.1%	fail
golden_cross	buy	7	7.0	7	57.1%	48.2%	-2.0%	42.9%	40.1%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	3	3.0	3	66.7%	48.2%	+1.0%	33.3%	40.1%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	16	16.0	13	43.8%	48.2%	-1.8%	43.8%	40.1%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	11	11.0	9	63.6%	48.2%	+0.4%	54.5%	40.1%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	3	3.0	2	0.0%	48.2%	-8.1%	0.0%	40.1%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	7	7.0	6	57.1%	48.2%	-0.3%	42.9%	40.1%	fail
death_cross	sell	8	8.0	8	37.5%	50.5%	+0.3%	50.0%	59.9%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	5	5.0	4	20.0%	50.5%	-1.0%	60.0%	59.9%	fail
breakdown	sell	22	22.0	13	40.9%	50.5%	+0.2%	50.0%	59.9%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	15	15.0	13	26.7%	50.5%	-1.3%	53.3%	59.9%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	15	15.0	10	40.0%	50.5%	+0.1%	53.3%	59.9%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	30	30.0	15	46.7%	50.5%	+1.2%	56.7%	59.9%	fail

HUM

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	41	41.0	20	56.1%	53.5%	-0.8%	48.8%	50.4%	fail
pullback_and_rs	buy	37	37.0	18	45.9%	53.5%	-1.2%	45.9%	50.4%	fail
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	53.5%	—	—	50.4%	fail
breakout	buy	26	26.0	15	46.2%	53.5%	-1.3%	42.3%	50.4%	fail
golden_cross	buy	8	8.0	8	37.5%	53.5%	-1.6%	50.0%	50.4%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	10	10.0	9	30.0%	53.5%	-1.9%	50.0%	50.4%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	19	19.0	13	52.6%	53.5%	+0.0%	42.1%	50.4%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	18	18.0	14	55.6%	53.5%	+1.0%	66.7%	50.4%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	7	7.0	5	57.1%	53.5%	+2.9%	57.1%	50.4%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	12	12.0	7	75.0%	53.5%	+6.9%	58.3%	50.4%	fail
death_cross	sell	8	8.0	8	25.0%	45.7%	+1.2%	37.5%	49.6%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	13	13.0	12	69.2%	45.7%	+8.9%	84.6%	49.6%	fail
breakdown	sell	15	15.0	11	40.0%	45.7%	-2.3%	66.7%	49.6%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	18	18.0	13	44.4%	45.7%	+1.0%	55.6%	49.6%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	10	10.0	9	50.0%	45.7%	+1.3%	50.0%	49.6%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	22	22.0	12	31.8%	45.7%	-1.4%	36.4%	49.6%	fail

MRNA

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	25	25.0	11	60.0%	50.6%	+9.8%	56.0%	47.8%	fail
pullback_and_rs	buy	23	23.0	11	60.9%	50.6%	+9.5%	56.5%	47.8%	fail
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	50.6%	—	—	47.8%	fail
breakout	buy	13	13.0	7	53.8%	50.6%	+4.7%	53.8%	47.8%	fail
golden_cross	buy	4	4.0	4	100.0%	50.6%	+11.5%	100.0%	47.8%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	7	7.0	7	71.4%	50.6%	+19.1%	71.4%	47.8%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	21	21.0	13	47.6%	50.6%	-1.3%	38.1%	47.8%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	14	14.0	12	35.7%	50.6%	-4.0%	35.7%	47.8%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	25	25.0	14	68.0%	50.6%	+6.3%	52.0%	47.8%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	8	8.0	5	50.0%	50.6%	-0.8%	37.5%	47.8%	fail
death_cross	sell	3	3.0	3	100.0%	49.2%	+17.1%	100.0%	52.2%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	6	6.0	5	66.7%	49.2%	-13.7%	50.0%	52.2%	fail
breakdown	sell	17	17.0	10	47.1%	49.2%	+0.5%	47.1%	52.2%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	13	13.0	9	61.5%	49.2%	+5.8%	61.5%	52.2%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	10	10.0	9	30.0%	49.2%	-11.1%	40.0%	52.2%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	22	22.0	9	63.6%	49.2%	+2.7%	63.6%	52.2%	fail

2026-10-09

Pattern readings

Pattern readings

Pattern readings

Qualified but not picked

Named-setup analog on these three

Premise check: buying this name after a big up day

Today's printed setups

Whole-panel walk

CCI

HUM

MRNA

Earlier mover prints