After Bell Investing

After Bell Investing · Stock of the Day

2026-10-12

Three large-cap Yahoo day gainers. Market cap ≥ $10B, US listing, real volume. Same pattern readings as the Mag7 print. Filed as a note beside the print. A one-day move is not a call. VIX 14.84 low. SPY 778.07.

1

FICO Fair Isaac Corporation

+10.8%

Cap
$16.0B
Last
740.00
RSI 14
40.9
vs SMA20
-6.8%

Named setup deep drawdown value · 100/100 · buy

Stop ~631.10 (2x ATR) or TTM earnings turning negative.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

PatternCurrentThresholdvsStatus
Historic drawdown 68.9% >= top-3 avg 39.2% 1.76x met
20d range high 740.00 > 1014.00 -27.0% below
20d range low 740.00 < 586.05 +26.3% below
Relative volume 1.60x >= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up 1.07x vs expansion met
RSI_14 40.9 oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70 mid 30-70 inside
MACD vs signal -89.724 vs -94.338 cross up: line > signal after line <= signal spread 4.614 above
Bollinger squeeze width 66.213 <= 20%ile cutoff 17.581 3.77x cutoff below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag) -6.8% -4.0% to +1.2% -6.8% outside
vs 52w high (breakout) -60.2% >= -3.0% (within 3% of high) -60.2% below
SMA50 vs SMA200 962.27 vs 1186.94 golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200 -18.9% below
VIX 14.84 (low) elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30 14.84 low
FICO dashboard

2

MANH Manhattan Associates, Inc.

+6.3%

Cap
$12.7B
Last
217.89
RSI 14
63.2
vs SMA20
+5.4%

Named setup squeeze breakout · 86/100 · buy

Back inside the band / stop ~204.15.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

PatternCurrentThresholdvsStatus
Historic drawdown 29.7% >= top-3 avg 44.4% 0.67x below
20d range high 217.89 > 214.62 +1.5% met
20d range low 217.89 < 196.80 +10.7% below
Relative volume 2.03x >= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up 1.35x vs expansion met
RSI_14 63.2 oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70 mid 30-70 inside
MACD vs signal 0.747 vs 0.309 cross up: line > signal after line <= signal spread 0.438 above
Bollinger squeeze width 8.821 <= 20%ile cutoff 13.219 0.67x cutoff met
vs SMA20 (pullback tag) +5.4% -4.0% to +1.2% +5.4% outside
vs 52w high (breakout) -4.0% >= -3.0% (within 3% of high) -4.0% below
SMA50 vs SMA200 206.25 vs 162.14 golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200 +27.2% above
VIX 14.84 (low) elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30 14.84 low
MACD bullish divergence price 201.82 → 198.70 · osc -3.50 → -2.28 price lower low AND oscillator higher low price -1.5% · osc +1.22 met
MANH dashboard

3

FRO Frontline Plc

+5.5%

Cap
$13.2B
Last
59.19
RSI 14
77.6
vs SMA20
+14.6%

Named setup breakout · 65/100 · buy

Failed breakout if close back below prior 52w high and stop ~55.09.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

PatternCurrentThresholdvsStatus
Historic drawdown 0.0% >= top-3 avg 55.3% 0.00x below
20d range high 59.19 > 56.86 +4.1% met
20d range low 59.19 < 46.68 +26.8% below
Relative volume 1.23x >= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up 0.82x vs expansion below
RSI_14 77.6 oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70 +7.6 vs 70 overbought
MACD vs signal 2.722 vs 2.118 cross up: line > signal after line <= signal spread 0.604 above
Bollinger squeeze width 24.794 <= 20%ile cutoff 12.894 1.92x cutoff below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag) +14.6% -4.0% to +1.2% +14.6% outside
vs 52w high (breakout) -0.6% >= -3.0% (within 3% of high) -0.6% met
SMA50 vs SMA200 46.57 vs 37.06 golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200 +25.7% above
VIX 14.84 (low) elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30 14.84 low
FRO dashboard

Named-setup analog on these three

Research analog, not a forecast. Close-to-close after the first session a named setup clears min_score. Onsets are at least 21 sessions apart. A win on a buy is a higher close 21 sessions later, net of 10 bps. A win on a sell is a lower close. Hit rate is always shown next to the same names' unconditional 21-session rate. Mag7 thresholds (n ≥ 40, n_eff ≥ 40) are reported for comparability, but this walk can never earn a cleared grade: on one name n_eff equals n by construction, so read n_episodes — onsets grouped into quarter-wide windows — as the independence count. One long drawdown re-arms a washout setup every quarter and shows up as many onsets. The names were also selected because they jumped today, and the $10B floor is measured today while the history covers the era when the name was far smaller.

Lookback 2300 sessions · onset gap 21 · tape FICO 2300 · MANH 2300 · FRO 2300

Premise check: buying this name after a big up day

The page picks names because they jumped. This is that entry on each name's own history — not a named setup.

Nameup day ≥nepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPY
FICO 8% 9 8 77.8% 62.9% +2.7% 66.7%
MANH 8% 14 12 64.3% 58.9% +2.6% 71.4%
FRO 8% 23 13 47.8% 57.6% -2.5% 39.1%

Today's printed setups

NameSetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
FICO deep_drawdown_value buy 10 10.0 7 50.0% 62.9% -1.5% 60.0% 60.6% fail
MANH squeeze_breakout buy 11 11.0 9 45.5% 58.9% -3.1% 54.5% 56.2% fail
FRO breakout buy 29 29.0 18 44.8% 57.6% +2.0% 48.3% 52.8% fail

Whole-panel walk

SetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
pullback_in_uptrend buy 136 70.9 28 57.4% 59.8% +0.6% 54.4% 56.5% marginal
pullback_and_rs buy 134 70.1 29 61.2% 59.8% +0.7% 59.0% 56.5% marginal
cheap_vs_industry buy 0 0.0 0 — 59.8% — — 56.5% fail
breakout buy 97 63.2 29 59.8% 59.8% +1.4% 53.6% 56.5% marginal
golden_cross buy 19 16.0 13 52.6% 59.8% -0.2% 57.9% 56.5% fail
bullish_divergence buy 19 15.0 11 47.4% 59.8% +0.6% 63.2% 56.5% fail
volume_breakout buy 76 52.0 26 64.5% 59.8% +2.7% 61.8% 56.5% marginal
squeeze_breakout buy 46 36.4 20 47.8% 59.8% -0.2% 52.2% 56.5% fail
historic_drawdown buy 40 33.0 19 55.0% 59.8% +0.8% 55.0% 56.5% thin
deep_drawdown_value buy 33 24.0 16 66.7% 59.8% +4.9% 66.7% 56.5% fail
death_cross sell 19 14.3 11 36.8% 39.8% -7.3% 36.8% 43.5% fail
bearish_divergence sell 25 23.0 14 52.0% 39.8% +0.2% 48.0% 43.5% fail
breakdown sell 38 29.3 15 42.1% 39.8% -0.1% 52.6% 43.5% fail
volume_breakdown sell 45 35.0 20 46.7% 39.8% -0.9% 48.9% 43.5% fail
squeeze_breakdown sell 31 28.0 20 41.9% 39.8% +0.7% 48.4% 43.5% fail
bounce_in_downtrend sell 60 41.0 18 38.3% 39.8% -0.8% 40.0% 43.5% fail

FICO

SetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
pullback_in_uptrend buy 46 46.0 21 69.6% 62.9% +1.7% 65.2% 60.6% marginal
pullback_and_rs buy 44 44.0 20 70.5% 62.9% +2.3% 70.5% 60.6% marginal
cheap_vs_industry buy 0 0.0 0 — 62.9% — — 60.6% fail
breakout buy 39 39.0 17 66.7% 62.9% +1.0% 61.5% 60.6% fail
golden_cross buy 6 6.0 6 33.3% 62.9% -3.2% 33.3% 60.6% fail
bullish_divergence buy 8 8.0 8 50.0% 62.9% -1.4% 50.0% 60.6% fail
volume_breakout buy 25 25.0 14 60.0% 62.9% +1.2% 68.0% 60.6% fail
squeeze_breakout buy 20 20.0 14 55.0% 62.9% +0.4% 60.0% 60.6% fail
historic_drawdown buy 8 8.0 7 50.0% 62.9% +7.8% 62.5% 60.6% fail
deep_drawdown_value buy 10 10.0 7 50.0% 62.9% -1.5% 60.0% 60.6% fail
death_cross sell 7 7.0 7 14.3% 36.8% -13.2% 14.3% 39.4% fail
bearish_divergence sell 18 18.0 13 50.0% 36.8% -0.6% 38.9% 39.4% fail
breakdown sell 9 9.0 6 55.6% 36.8% +0.3% 55.6% 39.4% fail
volume_breakdown sell 17 17.0 12 58.8% 36.8% +2.3% 58.8% 39.4% fail
squeeze_breakdown sell 9 9.0 8 55.6% 36.8% +1.2% 55.6% 39.4% fail
bounce_in_downtrend sell 15 15.0 9 26.7% 36.8% +0.3% 33.3% 39.4% fail

FRO

SetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
pullback_in_uptrend buy 47 47.0 19 51.1% 57.6% +0.5% 44.7% 52.8% marginal
pullback_and_rs buy 47 47.0 19 59.6% 57.6% +0.5% 53.2% 52.8% marginal
cheap_vs_industry buy 0 0.0 0 — 57.6% — — 52.8% fail
breakout buy 29 29.0 18 44.8% 57.6% +2.0% 48.3% 52.8% fail
golden_cross buy 5 5.0 5 60.0% 57.6% +3.9% 80.0% 52.8% fail
bullish_divergence buy 4 4.0 4 75.0% 57.6% +9.2% 100.0% 52.8% fail
volume_breakout buy 29 29.0 19 72.4% 57.6% +5.6% 58.6% 52.8% fail
squeeze_breakout buy 15 15.0 13 40.0% 57.6% +1.0% 40.0% 52.8% fail
historic_drawdown buy 22 22.0 14 63.6% 57.6% +0.9% 63.6% 52.8% fail
deep_drawdown_value buy 9 9.0 8 77.8% 57.6% +14.9% 77.8% 52.8% fail
death_cross sell 4 4.0 4 50.0% 42.0% -11.1% 25.0% 47.2% fail
bearish_divergence sell 3 3.0 3 66.7% 42.0% +4.4% 100.0% 47.2% fail
breakdown sell 10 10.0 5 40.0% 42.0% -0.7% 60.0% 47.2% fail
volume_breakdown sell 16 16.0 12 43.8% 42.0% -2.3% 50.0% 47.2% fail
squeeze_breakdown sell 16 16.0 13 43.8% 42.0% +0.6% 43.8% 47.2% fail
bounce_in_downtrend sell 21 21.0 11 47.6% 42.0% +1.5% 42.9% 47.2% fail

MANH

SetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
pullback_in_uptrend buy 43 43.0 22 51.2% 58.9% -0.5% 53.5% 56.2% fail
pullback_and_rs buy 43 43.0 21 53.5% 58.9% -0.8% 53.5% 56.2% fail
cheap_vs_industry buy 0 0.0 0 — 58.9% — — 56.2% fail
breakout buy 29 29.0 14 65.5% 58.9% +1.4% 48.3% 56.2% fail
golden_cross buy 8 8.0 8 62.5% 58.9% -0.6% 62.5% 56.2% fail
bullish_divergence buy 7 7.0 6 28.6% 58.9% -2.0% 57.1% 56.2% fail
volume_breakout buy 22 22.0 15 59.1% 58.9% +0.5% 59.1% 56.2% fail
squeeze_breakout buy 11 11.0 9 45.5% 58.9% -3.1% 54.5% 56.2% fail
historic_drawdown buy 10 10.0 8 40.0% 58.9% -5.3% 30.0% 56.2% fail
deep_drawdown_value buy 14 14.0 9 71.4% 58.9% +3.1% 64.3% 56.2% fail
death_cross sell 8 8.0 8 50.0% 40.5% -0.2% 62.5% 43.8% fail
bearish_divergence sell 4 4.0 3 50.0% 40.5% +0.6% 50.0% 43.8% fail
breakdown sell 19 19.0 10 36.8% 40.5% +0.1% 47.4% 43.8% fail
volume_breakdown sell 12 12.0 8 33.3% 40.5% -3.7% 33.3% 43.8% fail
squeeze_breakdown sell 6 6.0 4 16.7% 40.5% +0.1% 50.0% 43.8% fail
bounce_in_downtrend sell 24 24.0 11 37.5% 40.5% -3.5% 41.7% 43.8% fail

Earlier mover prints

  1. GMAB · VG · CART · 3 cards
  2. SPOT · ALLE · WCN · 3 cards
  3. SMCI · CRL · ZS · 3 cards
  4. TLK · EFX · HAS · 3 cards
  5. FROG · SMMT · RMBS · 3 cards
  6. AR · OVV · EQNR · 3 cards
  7. ERIC · TRU · CRCL · 3 cards
  8. HALO · GFS · UNH · 3 cards
  9. CDW · VG · INFY · 3 cards
  10. CCI · MRNA · HUM · 3 cards
  11. CSGP · FLUT · PBF · 3 cards
  12. BSP · GKOS · SPOT · 3 cards
  13. CIEN · TLN · CEG · 3 cards
  14. PTC · XP · PCVX · 3 cards
  15. IBRX · INIO · FPS · 3 cards